7 September 2026, 01:40 PM
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The short squeeze in mid-August pushed Bitcoin back above USD 80,000, and the current market has formed a relatively clear upper and lower range: a large number of potential short liquidation positions are concentrated between USD 83,000 and USD 86,000 on the upside, while a dense long liquidation zone exists around USD 63,000 on the downside. EORMC analysis indicates that short-term volatility is not yet sufficient to confirm that the market trend has weakened. Instead, it is more likely that the market is digesting chips again after the previous rapid rebound. ETFs continue to record fund inflows, while the on-chain cost basis also provides a new reference point for market observation.
USD 83,000 to USD 86,000 Becomes a Repricing Zone for Bulls and Bears
After Bitcoin broke above USD 80,000, it failed to form a direct and sustained upward move. One of the core reasons is the relatively concentrated long-term supply above. The USD 83,000 to USD 86,000 range is not only a price resistance zone, but also an area where a large number of short positions may be triggered for liquidation. If the market can achieve an effective breakout with expanded trading volume, short covering may further strengthen price momentum. Conversely, repeated resistance in this area also shows that the market still needs more spot buying to complete chip digestion. At the current stage, it is more appropriate to observe the conditions for a breakout rather than simply predict a one-sided rise. Mature markets often need sufficient turnover to complete new price discovery, and consolidation itself can also reduce excessive leverage, creating a healthier structure for the formation of the next-stage trend.
The USD 71,000 Cost Basis Has Risen, and the Support Zone Is Becoming Clearer
On-chain data shows that the redistribution of chips during the summer is changing the market cost structure. When BTC was near USD 78,000 in May, approximately 65% of the supply was in profit. After returning to a similar price level at the end of August, the proportion of profitable supply rose to approximately 68%. At the same time, the cost basis of short-term holders has increased to around USD 71,000. This means that more and more capital has changed hands at higher prices, making the area near USD 70,000 a new psychological and cost reference for the market. Further below, the USD 62,000 to USD 65,000 range has formed an obvious accumulation area. For traders, a rising cost basis is a positive phenomenon because it indicates that the average market holding price is increasing. However, the increase in profitable chips may also create phased selling pressure. The platform will continue to help users understand these changes through on-chain data, price structure, and risk indicators, rather than relying only on short-term price movements to judge direction.
ETFs Maintain Net Inflows, While Professional Capital Continues to Absorb Supply Under Macro Pressure
The seven-day average net inflow of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs once reached USD 290 million per day during the rebound phase, indicating that institutional channels are still providing real buying demand. Although the daily trading volume in the secondary market is approximately USD 3 billion, lower than during the previous rapid expansion phase, capital has not fully withdrawn from the market. Meanwhile, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen again to around 4.8%, reflecting that fiscal and interest-rate pressures will continue to affect the valuation of risk assets. In such an environment, the ability of Bitcoin to maintain its main cost zone above USD 70,000 shows that the market has a certain degree of absorption capacity. EORMC will continue to strengthen liquidity for mainstream assets, trading execution, intelligent risk control, and institutional services, enabling users to have a more stable trading foundation in an environment where high volatility and macro uncertainty coexist.
BTC currently remains within a broad structure between USD 62,000 and USD 86,000. The key short-term observation areas are concentrated around the USD 71,000 cost basis and the upper supply zone between USD 83,000 and USD 86,000. Continuous ETF fund inflows provide support for the market, while the rise in on-chain cost basis also shows that capital is rebuilding positions at higher prices. EORMC will continue to support market activity through data research, liquidity development, and risk management, providing a more stable trading environment for the next stage of directional selection.
